Antiviral Drugs Market Set to Witness an Uptick during 2020 to 2027



The global antiviral drugs market size is expected to reach USD 46.9 billion by 2027, according to a new report by Grand View Research, Inc. It is estimated to register a CAGR of -2.3% over the forecast period. Increasing geriatric population is considered to be the major factor anticipated to drive the demand for efficient treatment of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infections.
Antiviral drugs are in high demand due to the ongoing Covid-19 pandemic. However, due to the breakdown of the value chain in relevant APIs exported from China, there is a global shortage being observed. With manufacturers working hard to maintain positive credit, it is to be observed how antiviral drugs demand will be met. The estimates & forecast update will take into account the all-important impact of coronavirus.
According to the Centers of Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), nearly half the people diagnosed with HIV in U.S. are aged 50 and older. Furthermore, according to the data published in World Population Prospects: The 2020 Revision, one in six people globally is estimated to be over age of 65 years by 2050. In addition, one in four persons living in Northern America and Europe would be aged 65 years and above by 2050. The number of persons aged 80 years and above is estimated to triple, from 143 million in 2020 to 426 million in 2050. The increasing aging population worldwide would have a direct impact on the healthcare systems, who would have to meet the needs of the aging population. This, in turn, would drive the demand for antiviral drugs, which can be used to treat a range of viral infections.
Presence of pipeline antiviral products for HIV therapeutics is anticipated to drive the market over the forecast period. For instance, ViiV Healthcare is developing Cabotegravir/rilpivirine (long-acting injectable), which is currently under Phase III and are types of NNRTI/ INSTI drug class. In addition,GS-6207 (capsid inhibitor) and vesatolimod (TLR-7 agonist) are being developed by Gilead Sciences and are currently under Phase I trial for the treatment of HIV. Moreover, advancements in epidemiology and growing awareness of viral diseases are expected to result in a high demand for efficient treatment solutions.
According to the CDC, the prevalence of oral herpes (HSV-1) and genital herpes (HSV-2) was 47.8% and 11.9% respectively, from 2015 to 2016. The Herpes Resource Center (HRC) provides public awareness, education, and patient support. Moreover, the Hepatitis B Foundation provides information such as diagnosis, preventive measures, and treatment. Increasing preventive measures with the availability of various vaccines is expected to hinder the market growth over the forecast period.
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The global antiviral drugs market size was valued at USD 56.4 billion in 2020 and is expected to register a CAGR of -2.3% over the forecast period. Antiviral drugs are used for the treatment of viral infections, such as human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), hepatitis, and influenza. Broad-spectrum antiviral drugs can be used to treat a range of viruses. Moreover, several investigational drugs for the treatment of HIV infection are currently in the pipeline. Increasing instances of HIV infections are estimated to drive the demand for antiviral drugs.
Increasing prevalence of viral infections such as HIV, hepatitis, respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), and influenza is expected to drive the demand for antiviral drugs. For instance, according to data published by the WHO, hepatitis B caused around 887,000 deaths in 2015. Moreover, it was estimated that around 257 million patients were living with hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection in 2015. This is expected to drive the demand for efficient treatment solutions such as antiviral drugs.
Further key findings from the report suggest:
·         Reverse transcriptase inhibitors held the largest share in 2020 and is estimated to be the fastest-growing segment over the forecast period as these inhibitors slow down or prevent viral replication
·         DNA polymerase inhibitors was the second-largest segment in 2020 owing to its effectiveness in combating drug resistance
·         Generic products are estimated to be the fastest-growing segment over the forecast period owing to increased adoption of generic drugs in developing countries
·         Hepatitis dominated the application segment in 2020 owing to the availability of various antiviral products for its treatment
·         HIV is estimated to be the fastest-growing segment over the forecast period due to its increasing prevalence and incidence rate
·         North America dominated the global antiviral drugs market in 2020 owing to the presence of key players in the region and the availability of a well-established healthcare infrastructure.
Based on drug class, the market is classified into DNA polymerase inhibitors, reverse transcriptase inhibitors, protease inhibitors, neuraminidase inhibitors, and others. Reverse transcriptase inhibitors held the largest share in 2020 and is estimated to be the fastest-growing segment over the forecast period as they are effective in slowing down or preventing viral infection. Reverse transcriptase inhibitors include nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NRTIs) and non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NNRTIs). Drugs used in the treatment of HIV include Zidovudine, Stavudine, Zalcitabine, Efavirenz, Nevirapine, Etravirine, and Didanosine.
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Grand View Research has segmented the global antiviral drugs market on the basis of drug class, type, application:
Antiviral Drug Class Outlook (Revenue, USD Billion, 2016 - 2027)
·         DNA Polymerase Inhibitors
·         Reverse Transcriptase Inhibitors
·         Protease Inhibitors
·         Neuraminidase Inhibitors
·         Others
Antiviral Drugs Type Outlook (Revenue, USD Billion, 2016 - 2027)
·         Branded
·         Generics
Antiviral Drugs Application Outlook (Revenue, USD Billion, 2016 - 2027)
·         HIV
·         Hepatitis
·         Herpes
·         Influenza
·         Others
About Grand View Research
Grand View Research, Inc. is a U.S. based market research and consulting company, registered in the State of California and headquartered in San Francisco. The company provides syndicated research reports, customized research reports, and consulting services. To help clients make informed business decisions, we offer market intelligence studies ensuring relevant and fact-based research across a range of industries, from technology to chemicals, materials and healthcare.



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